Global landscape of SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance, public availability extent of genomic data, and epidemic shaped by variants (preprint)

Genomic surveillance has shaped our understanding of SARS-CoV-2 variants, which have proliferated globally in 2021.We collected country-specific data on SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance, sequencing capabilities, public genomic data from multiple public repositories, and aggregated publicly available variant data. Then, different proxies were used to estimate the sequencing coverage and public availability extent of genomic data, in addition to describing the global dissemination of variants. We found that the COVID-19 global epidemic clearly featured increasing circulation of Alpha since the start of 2021, which was rapidly replaced by the Delta variant starting around May 2021. SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance and sequencing availability varied markedly across countries, with 63 countries performing routine genomic surveillance and 79 countries with high availability of SARS-CoV-2 sequencing. We also observed a marked heterogeneity of sequenced coverage across regions and countries. Across different variants, 21-46% of countries with explicit reporting on variants shared less than half of their variant sequences in public repositories. Our findings indicated an urgent need to expand sequencing capacity of virus isolates, enhance the sharing of sequences, the standardization of metadata files, and supportive networks for countries with no sequencing capability.

Landscape of SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance, public availability extent of genomic data, and epidemic shaped by variants: a global descriptive study (preprint)

Background Genomic surveillance has shaped our understanding of SARS-CoV-2 variants, which have proliferated globally in 2021. Characterizing global genomic surveillance, sequencing coverage, the extent of publicly available genomic data coupled with traditional epidemiologic data can provide evidence to inform SARS-CoV-2 surveillance and control strategies. Methods We collected country-specific data on SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance, sequencing capabilities, public genomic data, and aggregated publicly available variant data. We divided countries into three levels of genomic surveillance and sequencing availability based on predefined criteria. We downloaded the merged and deduplicated SARS-CoV-2 sequences from multiple public repositories, and used different proxies to estimate the sequencing coverage and public availability extent of genomic data, in addition to describing the global dissemination of variants. Findings Since the start of 2021, the COVID-19 global epidemic clearly featured increasing circulation of Alpha, which was rapidly replaced by the Delta variant starting around May 2021 and reaching a global prevalence of 96.6% at the end of July 2021. SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance and sequencing availability varied markedly across countries, with 63 countries performing routine genomic surveillance and 79 countries with high availability of SARS-CoV-2 sequencing. Less than 3.5% of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections were sequenced globally since September 2020, with the lowest sequencing coverage in the WHO regions of Eastern Mediterranean, South East Asia, and Africa. Across different variants, 28-52% of countries with explicit reporting on variants shared less than half of their variant sequences in public repositories. More than 60% of demographic and 95% of clinical data were absent in GISAID metadata accompanying sequences. Interpretation Our findings indicated an urgent need to expand sequencing capacity of virus isolates, enhance the sharing of sequences, the standardization of metadata files, and supportive networks for countries with no sequencing capability. Research in context Evidence before this study On September 3, 2021, we searched PubMed for articles in any language published after January 1, 2020, using the following search terms: (“COVID-19” OR “SARS-CoV-2”) AND (“Global” OR “Region”) AND (“genomic surveillance” OR “sequencing” OR “spread”). Among 43 papers identified, few papers discussed the global diversity in genomic surveillance, sequencing, public availability of genomic data, as well as the global spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants. A paper from Furuse employed the publicly GISAID data to evaluate the SARS-CoV-2 sequencing effort by country from the perspectives of “fraction”, “timeliness”, and “openness”. Another viewpoint paper by Case Western Reserve University’s team discussed the impediments of genomic surveillance in several countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. The paper as reported by Campbell and colleagues used the GISAID data to present the global spread and estimated transmissibility of recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 variants. We also found several studies that reported the country-level genomic surveillance and spread of variants. To our knowledge, no research has quantitatively depicted the global SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance, sequencing ability, and public availability extent of genomic data. Added value of this study This study collected country-specific data on SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance, sequencing capabilities, public genomic data, and aggregated publicly available variant data as of 20 August 2021. We found that genomic surveillance strategies and sequencing availability is globally diverse. Less than 3.5% of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections were sequenced globally since September 2020. Our analysis of publicly deposited SARS-CoV-2 sequences and officially reported number of variants implied that the public availability extent of genomic data is low in some countries, and more than 60% of demographic and 95% of clinical data were absent in GISAID metadata accompanying sequences. We also described the pandemic dynamics shaped by VOCs. Implications of all the available evidence Our study provides a landscape for global sequencing coverage and public availability extent of sequences, as well as the evidence for rapid spread of SRAS-CoV-2 variants. The pervasive spread of Alpha and Delta variants further highlights the threat of SARS-CoV-2 mutations despite the availability of vaccines in many countries. It raised an urgent need to do more work on defining the ideal sampling schemes for different purposes (e.g., identifying new variants) with an additional call to share these data in public repositories to allow for further rapid scientific discovery.

Emergence in late 2020 of multiple lineages of SARS-CoV-2 Spike protein variants affecting amino acid position 677 (preprint)

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike protein (S) plays critical roles in host cell entry. Non-synonymous substitutions affecting S are not uncommon and have become fixed in a number of SARS-CoV-2 lineages. A subset of such mutations enable escape from neutralizing antibodies or are thought to enhance transmission through mechanisms such as increased affinity for the cell entry receptor, angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2). Independent genomic surveillance programs based in New Mexico and Louisiana contemporaneously detected the rapid rise of numerous clade 20G (lineage B.1.2) infections carrying a Q677P substitution in S. The variant was first detected in the US on October 23, yet between 01 Dec 2020 and 19 Jan 2021 it rose to represent 27.8% and 11.3% of all SARS-CoV-2 genomes sequenced from Louisiana and New Mexico, respectively. Q677P cases have been detected predominantly in the south central and southwest United States; as of 03 Feb 2021, GISAID data show 499 viral sequences of this variant from the USA. Phylogenetic analyses revealed the independent evolution and spread of at least six distinct Q677H sub-lineages, with first collection dates ranging from mid-August to late November 2020. Four 677H clades from clade 20G (B.1.2), 20A (B.1.234), and 20B (B.1.1.220, and B.1.1.222) each contain roughly 100 or fewer sequenced cases, while a distinct pair of clade 20G clusters are represented by 754 and 298 cases, respectively. Although sampling bias and founder effects may have contributed to the rise of S:677 polymorphic variants, the proximity of this position to the polybasic cleavage site at the S1/S2 boundary are consistent with its potential functional relevance during cell entry, suggesting parallel evolution of a trait that may confer an advantage in spread or transmission. Taken together, our findings demonstrate simultaneous convergent evolution, thus providing an impetus to further evaluate S:677 polymorphisms for effects on proteolytic processing, cell tropism, and transmissibility.